23. Seattle Soncis

The 23rd pick of the Usenet mock draft belongs to the Seattle Sonics
who are represented by:

   Christopher Beck .

With that pick, the Sonics select:

   Rodney Dobard, 6-9, power forward, Florida State.

==========================================================================

REGULAR SEASON RECORD:

55-27, 2nd in Pacific Division, 2nd in Western Conference 

I will refrain from summarizing the season, as many of you are
familiar with the team due to much posting and analysis about the
Sonics on the net.


PLAYOFF COMMENTS:

The Sonics have advanced to the Western Conference finals, where they
will play Phoenix.  The Suns will have the homecourt advantage.  This
team analysis does not take into account anything that occurs in the
Phoenix series.


REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS:

(lifted from the Seattle Times, without permission)

PLAYER		GP	 MPG	 FGM	 FGA	 FG%	3FGM	3FGA	3FG%
============================================================================
Pierce		77	 28.8	 524	1071	.489	 42	113	.372
Kemp		78	 33.1	 515	1047	.492	  0	  4	.000
Johnson		82	 22.8	 463	 991	.467	 17	 56	.304
Payton		82	 31.1	 476	 963	.494	  7	 34	.206
McKey		77	 31.7	 387	 780	.496	 40	112	.357
Perkins		79	 29.8	 381	 799	.477	 24	 71	.338
Barros		69	 18.0	 214	 474	.451	 64	169	.379
McMillan	73	 27.1	 213	 459	.464	 25	 65	.385
Cage		82	 26.3	 219	 416	.526	  0	  1	.000
Askew		73	 15.5	 152	 309	.492	  2	  6	.333
Paddio		41	  7.5	  71	 159	.447	  2	  8	.250
Scheffler	29	  5.7	  25	  48	.521	  0	  0	----
King		 3	  4.0	   2	   5	.400	  0	  0	----
============================================================================
TEAM		82	241.2	3473	7140	.486	218	610	.357
OPPONENTS	82	241.2	3143	6707	.469	272	808	.337


PLAYER		GP	 FTM	 FTA	 FT%	 PTS	  PPG	 HI
===================================================================
Pierce		77	 313	 352	.889	1403	 18.2	 33
Kemp		78	 358	 503	.712	1388	 17.8	 35
Johnson		82	 234	 257	.911	1177	 14.4	 29
Payton		82	 151	 196	.770	1110	 13.5	 31
McKey		77	 220	 297	.741	1034	 13.4	 30
Perkins		79	 250	 305	.820	1036	 13.1	 26
Barros		69	  49	  59	.831	 541	  7.8	 26
McMillan	73	  95	 134	.709	 546	  7.5	 24
Cage		82	  61	 130	.469	 499	  6.1	 15
Askew		73	 105	 149	.705	 411	  5.6	 16
Paddio		41	  14	  21	.667	 158	  3.9	 12
Scheffler	29	  16	  24	.667	  66	  2.3	 10
King		 3	   2	   2   1.000	   6	  2.0	  4
===================================================================
TEAM		82	1720	2259	.761	8884	108.3	149
OPPONENT	82	1746	2299	.759	8304	101.3	120


				 REBOUNDS
PLAYER		GP	 OFF	 DEF	 TOT	 RPG	ASST	 APG
====================================================================
Pierce		77	  58	 134	 192	 2.5	 220	 2.9
Kemp		78	 287	 546	 833	10.7	 155	 2.0
Johnson		82	 124	 148	 272	 3.3	 135	 1.6
Payton		82	  95	 186	 281	 3.4	 399	 4.9
McKey		77	 121	 206	 327	 4.2	 197	 2.6
Perkins		79	 163	 361	 524	 6.6	 156	 2.0
Barros		69	  18	  89	 107	 1.6	 151	 2.2
McMillan	73	  84	 222	 306	 4.2	 384	 5.3
Cage		82	 268	 391	 659	 8.0	  69	 0.8
Askew		73	  62	  99	 161	 2.2	 122	 1.7
Paddio		41	  17	  33	  50	 1.2	  33	 0.8
Scheffler	29	  15	  21	  36	 1.2	   5	 0.2
King		 3	   1	   4	   5	 1.7	   1	 0.3
====================================================================
TEAM		82	1222	2254	3476	42.4	1906	23.2
OPPONENT	82	1075	2220	3295	40.2	1835	22.4


PLAYER		GP	  PF	DQ	STL	 TO	BLK
===========================================================
Pierce		77	 167	 0	100	 160	  7
Kemp		78	 327	13	119	 217	146
Johnson		82	 173	 0	 36	 134	  4
Payton		82	 250	 1	177	 148	 21
McKey		77	 208	 5	105	 152	 58
Perkins		79	 225	 0	 60	 108	 82
Barros		69	  78	 0	 63	  58	  3
McMillan	73	 240	 6	173	 139	 33
Cage		82	 183	 0	 76	  59	 46
Askew		73	 135	 2	 40	  69	 19
Paddio		41	  24	 0	 14	  16	  6
Scheffler	29	  37	 0	  6	   5	  1
King		 3	   1	 0	  0	   3	  0
===========================================================
TEAM		82	1971	27	944	1267	409
OPPONENT	82	1853	19	655	1516	406



PLAYOFF STATISTICS (including Houston series):

PLAYER		GP	 MPG	 FGM	 FGA	 FG%	3FGM	3FGA	3FG%
============================================================================
Pierce		12	 30.8	  74	 176	.420	  6	 17	.353
Kemp		12	 34.1	  60	 130	.462	  0	  0	----
Perkins		12	 32.9	  64	 137	.467	 17	 44	.386
Payton		12	 32.7	  66	 153	.431	  1	  6	.167
Johnson		12	 20.7	  57	 152	.375	 10	 30	.333
McKey		12	 33.8	  50	  93	.538	  2	  5	.400
Askew		 8	  8.3	  14	  28	.500	  0	  0	----
Cage		12	 21.9	  25	  52	.481	  0	  0	----
McMillan	12	 21.8	  21	  57	.368	  4	 15	.267
Barros		 9	  7.1	  15	  26	.577	  4	 10	.400
Paddio		 4	  4.3	   4	  10	.400	  0	  1	.000
Scheffler	 4	  3.5	   3	   3   1.000	  0	  0	----
============================================================================
TEAM		12	241.4	 453	1017	.445	 44	128	.344
OPPONENTS	12	241.4	 433	 929	.466	 49	134	.366


PLAYER		GP	 FTM	 FTA	 FT%	 PTS	  PPG	 HI
===================================================================
Pierce		12	  46	  52	.885	 200	 16.7	 25
Kemp		12	  49	  61	.803	 169	 14.1	 29
Perkins		12	  22	  26	.846	 167	 13.9	 23
Payton		12	  16	  19	.842	 149	 12.4	 23
Johnson		12	  11	  13	.846	 135	 11.3	 24
McKey		12	  23	  37	.622	 125	 10.4	 16
Askew		 8	  15	  21	.714	  43	  5.4	 12
Cage		12	   6	  15	.400	  56	  4.7	  9
McMillan	12	  10	  18	.556	  56	  4.7	 16
Barros		 9	   3	   4	.750	  37	  4.1	  9
Paddio		 4	   0	   0	----	   8	  2.0	  4
Scheffler	 4	   0	   0	----	   6	  1.5	  4
===================================================================
TEAM		12	 201	2259	.756	1151	 95.9	120
OPPONENT	12	 209	2299	.766	1124	 93.7	103


				 REBOUNDS
PLAYER		GP	 OFF	 DEF	 TOT	 RPG	ASST	 APG
====================================================================
Pierce		12	   8	  20	  28	 2.3	  25	 2.1
Kemp		12	  58	  67	 125	10.4	  29	 2.4
Perkins		12	  22	  71	  93	 7.8	  21	 1.8
Payton		12	  16	  21	  37	 3.1	  42	 3.5
Johnson		12	  11	  17	  28	 2.3	  16	 1.3
McKey		12	  32	  30	  62	 5.2	  41	 3.4
Askew		 8	   6	   7	  13	 1.6	   5	 0.6
Cage		12	  30	  41	  71	 5.9	   7	 0.6
McMillan	12	  10	  28	  38	 3.2	  62	 5.2
Barros		 9	   0	   6	   6	 0.7	   5	 0.6
Paddio		 4	   0	   2	   2	 0.5	   1	 0.6
Scheffler	 4	   2	   4	   6	 1.5	   1	 0.3
====================================================================
TEAM		12	 195	 314	 509	42.4	 255	21.3
OPPONENT	12	 152	 334	 486	40.2	 281	23.4


PLAYER		GP	  PF	DQ	STL	 TO	BLK
===========================================================
Pierce		12	  20	 0	  8	  19	  2
Kemp		12	  44	 0	 20	  30	 16
Perkins		12	  31	 0	  9	  14	 12
Payton		12	  36	 0	 22	  21	  3
Johnson		12	  23	 1	  2	   7	  1
McKey		12	  28	 0	  4	  27	  7
Askew		 8	   5	 0	  1	   4	  0
Cage		12	  31	 1	  9	   9	  3
McMillan	12	  26	 0	 26	  10	  5
Barros		 9	   1	 0	  4	   5	  0
Paddio		 4	   1	 0	  2	   2	  1
Scheffler	 4	   0	 0	  1	   0	  0
===========================================================
TEAM		12	 246	 2	108	1267	 50
OPPONENT	12	 245	 2	 89	1516	 66

TEAM ROSTER:

PLAYER		 #	HEIGHT	WEIGHT	COLLEGE			YEAR
====================================================================
Vincent Askew	17	6-6	205	Memphis State		 85?
Dana Barros	 3	5-10	170	Boston College		1989
Michael Cage	44	6-9	235	San Diego State		1984
Eddie Johnson	 8	6-7	210	Illinois		1981
Shawn Kemp	40	6-10	245	---------		1989
Rich King	25	7-2	270	Nebraska		1991
Derrick McKey	31	6-10	210	Alabama			1987
Nate McMillan	10	6-5	205	North Carolina State	1986
Gerald Paddio	21	6-6	210	UNLV			 86?
Gary Payton	20	6-4	200	Oregon State		1990
Sam Perkins	14	6-9	250	North Carolina		1984
Ricky Pierce	22	6-4	215	Rice			1982
Steve Scheffler	55	6-9	250	Purdue			 90?


PLAYER ANALYSIS:

Vincent Askew gets most of the time allotted to the 9th man, sharing
with Dana Barros.  He is an athletic, slashing swingman.  He goes to
the basket effectively and drwas fouls, but his outside shot is
limited.  However, he does tend to take bad shots, especially in the
lane.  My favorite is the Jordan/drift-sideways-across-the-lane-and-
bank-it-in shot.  His primary role is defense, and Coach George Karl
has used him to front Karl Malone in the Sonics' trapping/switching
defense.  A former CBA star, Askew is a hustler and thus a favorite of
Karl.

Dana Barros is generally not one of Karl's favorite players.  He gives
away too much height and can be burned by opposing point guards,
although he has improved a good deal since his rookie year.  Dana is
very guick and has dunked off an alley-oop despite his height.  He has
outstanding range on his jumper, and was the league leader in 3-point
percentage last year.  He can pull up and hit off the break or on the
drive.  Despite this, Karl does not use him as much as I would like.
With Eddie Johnson getting older, Barros should hopefully see more
time on the court.

In my opinion, Michael Cage is the unsung hero of this team.  Despite
having his free-throw touch desert him this year, his rebounding
production is still with him.  Cage had an OK touch from about 15
feet, but that seemed to head south this year along with the
free-throw percentage.  Cage is strictly left-handed and likes to dunk
over and/or through people on the drive.  He gets the job of defending
the centers and power forwards in the post, where he uses his muscle
to good advantage.  At 6-9, he gives up inches to many of the players
he must guard.  He excels at tipping the ball to himself until gaining
control.

Eddie Johnson is getting old.  He is still capable of unconscious
shooting, but those episodes seem to be less frequent.  He has range
to three-point land, a quick release, and a veteran shooter's bag of
shot fakes, spins, and step-through moves which get him open closer to
the basket.  Additionally, Karl sometimes uses him at big guard, where
he can post up at 6-7.  He was fifth in the NBA in free-throw
percentage this year.  His limited defensive abilities are declining
as his age advances.  I would give him two more years, maybe three.

Shawn Kemp has always relied on his tremendous athleticism.  This was
never more apparent to me than in the playoffs against Houston.  He
has  post moves that can be termed reliable.  He finds himself in
the lane with Hakeem in the way, and resorts to pivoting until his man
(hopefully) commits.  What he is is a 6-10, 245-pound slasher, and
devastating on the break.  Kemp is easily the NBA's most athletic big
man.  His rebounding numbers are fine, but could easily be higher if
he were to improve his positioning.  He has effective range 10 12 or
14 feet, and occasional range to 18 feet.  His foul shooting needs
some work.  On defense, he fouls too much, bites on nearly all
up-fakes, and tries to block every shot in sight.  I wish the Sonics'
coaches would give him old tapes of Kevin McHale to watch.  One more
complaint is that he tends to take down a defensive rebound, and then
turn around and try to lead the break by himself.  This is a
crowd-pleaser to the fans, but people like John Stockton must like the
resulting chest-high dribble.  My final complaint is that he makes
easy passes look hard, with too much pastry.

Rich King has spent the first two years of his career on the DL.
Having little to go on, I will state that he appears to have decent
mobility for a 7-2 player.  He allegedly shoots and passes well from
the high post, but like all big men right out of school his post
defense needs work.  He was drafted before the George Karl small-ball
era began, thus I don't know if he will ever get into a game if he is
healthy.

Derrick McKey should be an all-star, but lacks the necessary
temprament.  He can defend from power forward to point guard.  He has
long arms and great lateral movement.  He has athleticism and jumping
ability, which is rarely displayed any more.  McKey's concentration
wanders, leading him to make lazy entry passes or other baffling
mistakes.  Anyway, McKey has a reliable turnaround jumper and jump
hook when posted up.  His court vision and passing are the best on the
team, and he can hit the three-pointer.  McKey's rebounding numbers
are light, but considering who he guards on defense I don't think that
they are that bad.  His foul shooting was not that great this year,
and lately he tends to miss important free throws.  Derrick can drive
with either hand, and for some reason prefers finishing with his left
hand despite being right-handed.  He has a great (for a big man)
crossover dribble.  Karl uses him a good deal at guard, and I wouldn't
mind if he were moved there permanently.  He can cope on defense, and
on offense he would be a big matchup problem for opposing teams.

Nate McMillan is a fine swingman who is a perfect fit for the Sonics.
He can run the point, or swing to two-guard or small forward.  His
outside shooting has improved to the point where teams cannot give him
open 18-footers any more.  He occasionally hits three-pointers as
well.  Nate is a fine defender and rebounder for a guard, and makes
good cuts without the ball in the lane.  His veteran leadership is
also important to the younger Sonics.  He is the last Sonic left from
the '87 team that went to the Western Conference finals.  He spends a
lot of time playing "point-forward," which reminds some of us of John
Johnson, a fixture on the great Sonics teams of the late 70's.

Gerald Paddio is the Sonic's 11th man.  He is an athletic swingman
with decent range.  I don't really know about his defense, since he
never gets in against starters.

Gary Payton made great strides this year.  He is finally hitting the
open jumper that teams have given him ever since he came into the
league.  He was in the top 10 in steals this year, and at 6-4 has
great lateral quickness that enables him to defend against quick
guards.  A noted trash-talker, he is at last backing up the talk.  He
can post up, and has good spin moves in the lane.  He does not average
as many assists as McMillan, but McMillan is used more when the Sonics
are in a half-court game.  When they are both in together, McMillan is
the primary ballhandler.

Sam Perkins is the reason the Sonics are in the conference finals.  He
bailed the Sonics out in game 5 vs Utah, and hit the key shot in game
7 vs Houston.  In my view he was the perfect guy to pick up at the
trading deadline.  (Thanks, Jerry West, for taking Benoit and Christie
off our hands.)  Sam is a quiet leader who has helped the younger guys
a lot since his arrival.  He has 3-point range, a good touch at the
line, and decent post moves.  In addition, he is a fine passer and
rebounder.  His long arms help him on defense and on his turnaround
jumper.  An experienced defender, he can be used at center.

Ricky Pierce is the Sonics leading scorer and primary option in a
half-court game.  He is very strong and therefore can get off a shot
against anyone.  He has range to three-point land, but is most
effective from twenty feet in.  He is a threat to post-up down low. 
The Sonics like to run him off picks on the left-hand side of the
court.  On the drive, he favors the right hand over the left.  Going
right, he either pulls up after one dribble or goes all the way to the
hoop.  Going left, he usually takes one or two dribbles before pulling
up.  Pierce has become a better passer out of double-teams, but
sometimes makes errant passes anyway.  Squares to the basket extremely
well, and is an outstanding free-throw shooter.  Is average at best on
defense, and his advancing age isn't helping things much.  

Last, but not least, crowd favorite Steve Scheffler.  He actually
started 3 or 4 games earlier in the year when the Sonics had injury
troubles.  A big banger, he has limited offensive skills but is a
decent rebounder.

TEAM NEEDS:

The Sonics have a group of players older than 30.  These include (in
rough descending order) Johnson, Pierce, Perkins, Cage, and McMillan. 
Drafting Doug Christie last year was the right move.  If he had signed,
he would have been Pierce's eventual replacement at off-guard.  The
next priority would have been to find a shooter to replace Johnson. 
Cage and Perkins don't need replacement just yet.  I would like to see
McKey start for Pierce, and bring Pierce off the bench.  In the
frontcourt I would start Kemp, McMillan, and Perkins.

With the 23rd pick in the draft, I think the Sonics should take the
best available player at shooting guard or small forward.  That said, I
think that it is unlikely that a really good player will be available
at these positions.


SELECTION AND REASONS WHY:

Rodney Dobard, 6-9, Florida State

Dobard is an excellent athlete, with above-average defensive ability.
The Sonics don't really need another 6-9 guy at this point, but I
don't think any of the players left can play for the Sonics right away
anyway.  Dobard would at least have a few years to develop before he
is needed.  McKey can be used more at guard if Dobard is capable of
contributing at least a few minutes per game.  Besides, Perkins could
play this position on offense.

By the way, the two guys I most wanted were Greg Graham and George
Lynch.  Hopefully the Sonics will receive better cooperation from the
GM's in front of them than I did from the GM's in front of me.  :)

WHO THE TEAM WILL PROBABLY TAKE:

Given their position in the draft, this is extremely hard to predict. 
Players I am looking at include Rodney Dobard, Douglas Edwards, Chris
Mills, Josh Grant, George Lynch, James Robinson, Scott Burrell, Sam
Cassell, Greg Graham, and Nick van Exel.  

My preference of this group would be Greg Graham.  He is 6-4, with long
arms.  An athletic leaper, he can defend and has good touch from the
line and from 3-point territory.  Thus, a good fit for the Sonics.  He
is a winner, and besides, my brother was a manager at Indiana last year
and had nothing but good things to say about him.

At small forward, I feel Grant lacks the necessary athleticism to fit
in with the rest of the Sonics.  In terms of guards, I think Cassell is
too skinny and van Exel hasn't shown enough ability to play the point.

Robinson is my alternate choice (had Dobard been taken by Cleveland)
since there is some question whether Dana Barros will be back after
next season.  Theoretically Robinson is not completely helpless on
defense (Wimp Sanderson coached him) and he has the requisite athletic
ability and outside shot.  Plus, he is 4 inches taller than Barros.


OTHER MOVES THE TEAM SHOULD MAKE:   

I might see what is available in the free-agent market at small
forward or shooting guard, but I would not go over the salary cap if
it can be avoided.  Bob Whitsitt has demonstrated an ability to turn
over the roster in a productive fashion, and I would not want to
hinder any possible deals.

I also would play Barros more, provided he stays with the team.
Barros' contract is up after next year so I guess I might either sign
him to a longer deal or dump him now.  Barros is probably a better
shooter than anyone the Sonics are likely to get in the draft, but
trading him plus the 23rd pick to move up is an option too.  Or trade
him for a pick next year and draft a guard to replace him.  Shawn Kemp
would go to Pete Newell's big man camp, if I were running the team.
He needs a post move or two.

As the team has reached the Western Conference finals, I don't think
it would be wise to make any major moves this year.  Next year the
Sonics have the better of either Phoenix's or Philadelphia's first
round pick.  With the prospect of the Sixers being in the lottery next
year fairly good, 1994 seems like the year to pick up Ricky Pierce's
successor at guard.

======================================================================
Draft Summary:
1.  Orlando
    GM:   Tom@Orlando 
    Pick: Chris Webber, PF, 6-10.  University of Michigan
2.  Philadelphia
    GM:   Dave Meeks 
    Pick: Shawn Bradley, C, 7-7. BYU
3.  Golden State
    GM's: Mike Moore 
          Terry Wong 
    Pick: Jamal Mashburn, SF, 6-8. Kentucky
4.  Dallas
    GM:   Curtis Hill  
    Pick: Anfernee Hardaway, SG, 6-7, Memphis State
5.  Minnesota
    GM's: Kevin Hansen 
          Toni Morgan 
    Pick: Calbert Cheaney, SF, 6-7. Indiana
6.  Washington
    GM's: The Crossjammer 
          Jim Nagle   
    Pick: J.R. Rider, SG, 6-5, UNLV
7.  Sacramento
    GM:   TODD FURESZ 
    Pick: Rodney Rogers, PF, 6-7, Wake Forest
8.  Milwaukee       
    GM's: Brian Saunders 
          Morgan Edwards 
    Pick: Malcolm Mackey, PF, 6-11, Georgia Tech
9.  Denver
    GM's: John Exby 
          Rick Grubin 
    Pick: Ervin Johnson, PF, 6-11, New Orleans
10. Detroit
    GM:   Rob Skrobola 
    Pick: Alan Houston, SG, 6-6, Tennessee
11. Detroit
    GM:   Rob Skrobola 
    Pick: Acie Earl, C, 6-10, Iowa
12. L.A. Lakers
    GM:   Cliff Slaughterbeck 
    Pick: Bobby Hurley, PG, 6-0, Duke
13. L.A. Clippers
    GM:   Cliff Slaughterbeck 
    Pick: Vin Baker, SF, 6-10, Hartford
14. Indiana
    GM:   Doug Mraz 
    Pick: Scott Burrell, SG, 6-7, UCONN
15. Atlanta
    GM:   Kevin Metz 
    Pick: Terry Dehere, SG, 6-4, Seton Hall
16. New Jersey
    GM:   A. Borges Sugiyama 
    Pick: Douglas Edwards, PF, 6-9, Florida State
17. Charlotte
    GM:   Bren Bailey 
    Pick: Chris Mills, SF, 6-6, Arizona
18. Utah
    GM:   Michael Wendt  
    Pick: George Lynch, SF, 6-7, North Carolina
19. Boston
    GM:   Orin Day 
    Pick: Greg Graham, SG, 6-4, Indiana
20. Charlotte (from San Antonio for J.R. Reid)
    GM:   Bren Bailey 
    Pick: Lindsey Hunter, PG, 6-2, Jackson State
21. Portland
    GM:   Mike Northam 
    Pick: Luther Wright, C, 7-2, Seton Hall 
22. Cleveland
    GM's: W. Scott Klingensmith 
          Brian Young 
    Pick: Joe Harvell, SF, 6-7, Mississippi
23. Seattle
    GM:   Christopher Beck 
    Pick: Rodney Dobard, PF, 6-9, Florida State

Next up:
24. Houston
    GM:   Brian West  

Craig Simpson - Usenet Draft Commissioner