Because of the trade between Denver and Indiana (and because we were only to the 11th pick), I am going to redo the 10th pick with the Pacers. The Pacers received the 10th pick and Jalen Rose for the 23rd pick and Mark Jackson. The Pacers are represented by: "T-Bone" Burton T-Bone selects: Roy Rogers, PF, 6-10, Alabama ======================================================================== I. Team Needs/History The Indiana Pacers are coming off their second best year in NBA history. They tied their record from the previous year (when they won a division title for the first time since their ABA days) in spite of a rash of injuries and weird suspensions. The Pacers finished the season by losing to Atlanta in the opening round. That Reggie Miller was hurt made this loss possible, but it should never have gotten to that point The Pacers had been a deep team the two previous years, and the last playoffs exposed their lack of depth. Add to this that Miller, Dale Davis, and Antonio Davis are free agents, and things are getting kinda hairy. Indiana's two year run at the finals may be over unless action is taken. So of course, GM Donny Walsh pulled the trigger on a deal sending Mark Jackson, Ricky Pierce, and the #23 pick to Denver for Jalen Rose, Reggie Williams, and the #10 pick. Hence this earlier-than-expected draft report. A. CENTER Rik Smits has finally become the kind of center that GM Donny Walsh envisioned. Larry Brown has Smits palying about 30 pounds lighter than previous coaches wanted. Not a guy with a big build in spite of his height, Smits' weight reduction has made him more mobile, reduced his knee problems to almost non-existent, and increased his endurance. This has made him one of the league's top offensive centers. Rik uses his 7'4" frame and good shooting touch to draw out opposing centers and open the lane for Miller, Jackson (ahem), McKey, and the Davisses(ahem,ahem). Smits is also a good passer, and improving with time. After a big first half, he often draws double teams outside of the lane then dishes off to a cutting teammate for a quick two points and maybe a foul. Smits' rebounding and defending have improved, though he will never be a monster rebounder, even at 7'4". His offensive game takes him (and the opposing center) away from the basket and out of position for rebounds. This is not a problem with Dale and Antonio Davis and Derrick McKey on the same team. At backup this past year was Dwayne Schintzius. To the surprise of many, including yours truly, Schintzius proved to be an effective backup and spot starter when Smits was hurt/needed a rest. He'll never be a great player, but hell, what can you expect from a backup? Also, reserve power forward Antonio Davis fills in at backup, which gives him more minutes without taking them from (or whoever else starts). B. POWER FORWARD The Indiana Pacers have been blessed with what may be the best power forward duo in the NBA. In more than name, both Dale and Antonio Davis are quite similar. Both are 6'11" power forwards who can rebound, block shots, play tight defense, run the floor, and provide big dunks when the Smits and Miller draw extra do. They both are intelligent players, rarely making dumb mistakes. They feed off one another, each pushing the other in practice and in games, but the rivalry is friendly one. Unfortunately, both are free agents and one of them is gone, if not both. Dale will probably leave, since he can command more cash. Antonio seems more rooted in Indy, and gives the team more versatility since he can backup at center. Adrian Caldwell was the fifth frontline player last year. At 6'8", he is a bit short (but not undersized) when mixing it up underneath. He is, however, a banger and a hustler and is good insurance if anything happens to the other big men in front of him. After wasting cap room, a spot on the bench, and eating his weight in groceries at company expense, Scott Haskin is gone. Good riddance. C. SMALL FORWARD Derrick McKey may just be the second best player in the league today, after Jordan, but no one seems to notice this. McKey puts up solid, if not great, stats but is best known, when he is known, for his defense. That McKey was only second-team all-defense in the league truly shows how little people understand defense. The only defensive stats which are kept are steals (but not "failed steals" which lead to an easy backet for an opponent) and blocks. If you block a shot, often it's because your man got the ball where he shouldn't have in the first place. Most of McKey's blocks, though, come from leaving his man to help a teammate. And McKey's defense is more about cutting off passing lanes, rotating to cover two men when a teammate doubleteams, keeping his man from ever seeing the ball, keeping rebounds alive for his teammates, etc. Coach Brown and Derrick's teammates want to see him shoot and drive more, but with Smits and Miller on the team, McKey only looks to score when the team needs him to. The team has a defensive presence, a toughness, a scrappiness it sorely lacked before, due as much to McKey as Larry Brown. He'll never make the All-Star team, but McKey is the most important player on a championship-contending team. It would be nice to see him shoot (and score) more, but you can't have everything. McKey's backups are Duane Ferrell and Eddie Johnson. Ferrell was signed as a free agent, had a disappointing first year, and came through as a solid if unspectacular backup in 95-96. Eddie Johnson was a big disappointment, and his age really showed. Now that Reggie Williams is on board, look for Johnson to be gone. Williams will provide bench scoring, bench leadership, and depth at small forward and shooting guard. D. SHOOTING GUARD What can you say about Reggie Miller? The man is a paradox. A skinny 6-7, he is also one of the league's ironmen; he only missed games because of Otis Thorpe, the first time Reggie'd ever had a serious injury. The '96 Olympian is a superstar, one who thrives under pressure. He is very confident in his abilites but isn't a spoiled star since he grew up in the shadow of his sister. Reggie, as a shooting guard, gets to the free throw line more often than most centers, and is deadly at the charity stripe. He is a bigtime scorer who understands team play. Reggie may well be the best shooting guard in the league, at least among those who don't see themselves as bigger than the game. I hope to God he re-signs with Indy. Backing up Miller is Jalen Rose, taking over for the departed and Cretaceous-born Ricky Pierce. Rose (son of the Pacers' first-ever draft pick Jim Walker) is also an insurance policy if Miller doesn't re-sign. I'd rather go into a season with him as the shooting guard instead of Ricky Pierce. Rose can also be used as a backup at the point, giving the team more versatility. The third shooting guard is Fred "Mojo" Hoiberg, who apparently has a cute butt and generates more discussion on the Pacers list than he warrants. He's the Jim Carrey of the NBA. E. POINT GUARD This position is solid if somewhat frustrating. The starting job belonged to Mark Jackson, but now will be a fight between Heywood Workman and Travis Best. best may have been the steal of the draft. When he played last year, he showed flashes of brilliance and a shooting range that may have caused Bobby Cremins to yell "Where the hell WERE you?" Though he'll only be a second year player, he is fairly mature and uses his speed and shot to make up for his small stature. Consummate journeyman Heywood Workman was brought on board in '93 to back up Vern Fleming, who was then the backup to Pooh Richardson. Workman turned out to be the most effective of the trio. Workman has the perfect last name; he's a blue collar player who plays his heart out every night. Though not flashy or spectacular, he rarely has a bad game and will not lose a game for you. His shooting, tough improving, leaves something to be desired, but his defense compensates. Rose will probably be used as the third point guard that Larry Brown likes to have on the roster. ********************************************************************** In short, the Pacers need depth along the front line or at shooting guard. You can't expect a rookie to step right in and be a big-time producer on a championship-caliber team, or even on the Pacers. II. Your Selection (and explanation) Roy Rogers, PF, Alabama. He's a shot blocker, a rebounder, and athletic. He's not a great offensive player, but you don't want someone like Karl Malone playing next to Smits. Also, the guy was a red-shirt senior, so he may fit in better with a mature team like Indiana. Plus he can learn about the NBA from Davis, and 'bama has a history of producing good forwards ... like, say, McKey. III. Others Considered Not too many, and only partly because of the timing of the trade. None of the remaining shooting guards impressed me, certainly not enough for the #10 pick. I saw Kwame Evans play a few times at GW, and I like his game to chose him for the third guard, but he'll be around later. I also considered Zydrunas Ilgauskas out of Lithuania, but I don't know enough about him to gamble away the tenth pick. Seriously, Rogers seems the best fit among who was left, and I know that Larry Brown likes to have five big men (at C and PF) on the roster at any one time. With at least one of the Davises likely to leave, this seemed an obvious choice. IV. Who the team will probably take God knows, and he ain't talkin'. Rumors are rampant that the Pacers are working on a deal with Phoenix, but supposedly the Knicks are too. There is a logjam at small forward, the team might need another shooting guard, there is some question whether or not Schintzius will still be around, and now GM Donny Walsh says that the team is looking to move up further in the draft. They probably have their eye on someone, so stay tuned ... V. Other moves that the team should make (In some order of importance) 1. Re-sign Reggie 2. Re-sign Antonio 3. Get a third consistent scorer 4. Offer me free tickets for these drafts if that job comes through