Charlotte is a team with two first round picks. The first of these picks is their own. They are represented by: Thad Williamson Thad used that pick on: Kobe Bryant, SG, 6-6, Lower Merion HS =================================================================== 1. Team summary. After a stunning overhaul of its team roster in the past year, the Charlotte Hornets are a franchise at the crossroads. After a very strong playoff showing in 1993, the Hornets have been back only once in the past 3 years, and last November unloaded the cornerstone of what had been the franchise's championship ambitions in sending Alonzo Mourning to Miami. (Despite a late season upset at Chicago, the Hornets were beaten out by the Heat for the last playoff spot over the last month of the season.) Moreover, there are major question marks as to free agents, in particular whether Kenny Anderson will return. (Almost certainly not.) The best case scenario for 96-97 is for the Hornets to reach the top of the Eastern Conference's third tier, a group including Cleveland, Detroit, Washington, Atlanta, and Miami, with whom the Hornets will be competing for a playoff spot next year. In my view, that will require both the acquisition of a point guard and the emergence of a credible inside performer to provide balance to the Hornets' impressive perimeter shooting. That said, if the Hornets are ever to get past the third tier, they need to also begin assembling, in my view, the components of a different cast of characters then is seen on the the current jump shot-happy, inconsistent, little- defense playing ballclub. (The Hornets in 96 were 28th in the NBA in FG% defense, 48.9%, including a painful 39.6% from 3.) 2. Point guard. The key question here is Kenny Anderson, does he stay or go. Still just a shadow of what he potentially could be, Anderson nonetheless ranks in the top half of starting NBA point guards by any reasonable assessment and provides the speed and ballhandling to make the Hornets buzz. Personally, I'd keep him if I could. The problem is that his $5 million contract ties the Hornets' hands in terms of getting a free agent up front. So he's already all-but- gone, and the Hornets will take the savings and make a run at a much cheaper point guard and a power forward for the same amount of money. (How much does Mark Price go for these days?) Otherwise, the aging but incomparable Muggsy Bogues is expected back to provide defensive pressure and instant assists. Hopefully he can teach Kenny a thing or two in practice. Michael Adams is a free agent whom I hope the Hornets cast off without affection, although the moments when he and Bogues shared the court were certainly entertaining. Anthony Goldwire is a CBA pickup whom I still regard as a marginal player, though real-world management for some reason apparently considers him part of the Hornets "core" to build on. 3. Shooting guard. Glen Rice (21.6 ppg, 42.4% 3FG) is going to play as a very large shooting guard for this team as the Hornets attempt to go big. Though no candidate for the all-defensive team, Rice is one of a handful of scorers in the league capable of going into "unstoppable" mode on any given night. What will be more important than the occasional 40 point night from Rice is steady good shooting from the outside and enough layups off the drive and break to keep teams honest. He might benefit from developing some post moves further to use against smaller guards at the 2 next year. 3 point bomber Dell Curry has worked hard to become at least competent in other aspects of the game, but he is essentially a shooter and I feel the Hornets need to start phasing him out, possibly dealing him to a better team that could really use him in exchange for size. Too many 3 point shots means no consistency, and while Rice and Curry are great together at an Indian restaurant, not so on a NBA hardwood, especially when the other team has the ball. Still, look for Curry to hang around in town at least another as a reserve. The Hornets also have Pete Myers, a capable defender who is a free agent. I would include him in the team's plan for next year simply to get some tenacity on the defensive end. Gerald Glass is also on the roster as a tie-in from the New Jersey trade, to no great effect. 4. Small forward. Scottie Burrell is perhaps the truest small forward on the roster, but Larry Johnson will play the 3 for the Hornets next season assuming something comes through via free agency at the 4 spot, as management plans. Made a bit old by injury before his time, Johnson may never return to his second team all-NBA form of 1993, much less rise to the Barkley level many expected, but at over 20 ppg and 8 boards a night he is still a formidable performer at both ends of the court, and it is not unfair to say that much of the franchise hangs on the continuing health of his back. From the 3 spot he will take more 3s (36.6% 3FG) and better utilize his passing skills. Johnson has tremendous quickness given his build but that may not be enough on the perimeter defensively at the 3. This is where Burrell, an amazing athlete who has yet to fully blossom as an NBA player, fits in, as essentially the Hornets' "sixth" starter for next year (again presuming the expected power forward acquisition)- -if he can get and stay healthy after appearing in only 20 games in 95-96 (tallying 13.2 pgg and nearly 5 rb/game.) The Hornets need Burrell on the floor 25-30 minutes every night to stay in playoff contention next year. Journeyman Rafael Addison is also on the roster; a better prospect for help from the deep bench is Darin Hancock, a still-young, athletic player who scored 3.9 ppg on 53% shooting in 96. 5. Power forward. This lot open! The big vacancy, filled in by Johnson pending free agent and draft acquisitions. The Hornets are looking to go big and are willing to deal or shell out for a veteran power forward, though probably not at the high-end (Howard, Rodman) of the market. Or maybe the buzz could bring back Kurt Rambis. The other option is to play one of the less-than superlative center talents at the 4. 5. Center. Center by committee is the name of the game in the wake of Mourning's move to Miami, led by the formidable banger Matt Geiger, who showed real signs as a capable performer in 95-96, perhaps buoyed by his preseason confrontation with Shaq. 11.2 ppg, 53.6% FG, 8 rb--not bad!--all in roughly 30 minutes of work a night. Though probably not the center for any title team coming in your neighborhood, the Hornets can live with another year of Geiger. (He's got the job Eric Montross would love to have). George Zidek will be entering his second season and it's make or break time for the Czech, slightly-hunched big guy. As 4.0 ppg and 42.3% FG shows, that clear out the lane and let me take a hook shot stuff doesn't wear well in the NBA. Zidek must significantly develop his game, most plausibly on the defensive end but possibly also a longer- range jumpshot, if he wants to stay in the league. The Hornets used 42-year old Robert Parish in major minutes on occasion in 95-96, but he is a free agent and certainly not a priority for picking up the option at $3 million. 6. Overall needs: Get a power forward who can play, get a point guard with size to work in tandem with Bogues if possible, and move in the long haul to build a team that's more than a bunch of frenetic 3 point- shooters. Get Burrell back and on the court. Additonally consider getting big warm bodies who can play defense. And get some real leadership and continuity on this team--Rice and Johnson are the most plausible candidates, but veterans Bogues and Curry are worthwhile for these very traits. Dave Cowens, the new coach, would seem at least first blush a better man than the late Mr. Bristow to light a fire under this team night in and night out, which will be what is needed if the Hornets are to get to 45 victories and playoff land. 7. My pick at #13: ....Kobe Bryant, 6-6 guard, Ardmore, PA.... Why: Simply too good an opportunity to pass up, especially with aim towards long-term build-up of a more versatile, tougher team. The Hornets have never had the all-round talent in the backcourt, outside of the mercurial Kendall Gill, and this is a chance to get him. Management expects perhaps very modest contributions, pending the health of Burrell et al, in 96-97, though the typical up-tempo Hornets style should suit Bryant just fine. I compare this selection to the Sonics taking 19 year old Shawn Kemp in 89. The danger of course, is that the Hornets could do the work in developing Bryant and then not be able to sign him to that critical second contract, but that's a risk I'll take. Given the veteran presence on the team I think the impressively mature Bryant can adjust tolerably well, if not easily, to the Hornets, and there's not much doubt he can be a damn good NBA player--someday. If it looks like he can't help next year courtwise, we'll just send him to Chapel Hill for some basketball instruction from one of the local intercollegiate coaches. Also the pick puts the franchise in position to consider a deal to get a major league veteran big man (or point if no Kenny), should the opportunity arise, by parting with either Bryant or Curry. 8. Others I considered: ...Todd Fuller, NCSU.. Obvious help at 4 and 5, hard worker, shooting range, etc, etc. ...Samaki Walker, Louisville... Defense! Defense! Very young too... ...Walter McCarty, Kentucky.... All round skills in a big body, but more of a 3 perhaps than a 4 in the NBA. ...Othella Harrington, Georgetown... Capable if undersized post player.. ...Jerome Williams, Georgetown... Serious rebounder with a handle but not enough shot ...Dontae Jones, Mississippi State An attractive player but too much like Rice to draft... Odds are in my favor that one of these players will still be in my lap for the #16 pick; nor have I ruled out various giants from this land and abroad. 9. Who the Hornets will probably take: Bob Bass says the Hornets aren't trading 2 picks for 1 unless it's to get into the top 3, despite all the trade rumors. The Hornets will either draft 2 of the big men listed above (or others more highly rated--Roy Rogers, etc.) who fall to 13, or take 1 and then add probably Steve Nash as a point guard. I doubt the Hornets will have the vision (and chutzpah) to take Bryant, unfortunately. 10. Other moves the Hornets should make. 1. Sign a power forward free agent 2. Resign Myers; be very sure a power forward is going to be in the bag before letting Anderson walk away 2a.Given #1, let Anderson go and sign a point guard with the money 3. Let Adams, Parish go 4. Start phasing Curry out, and phasing a 2 guard who can take the ball to the hole with authority in. 5. If Bryant is drafted, unload Curry by midseason; hire Joe Bryant as assistant coach. 6. Start teaching defense in pre-season camp. 7. Have the city of Charlotte buy the team from George Shinn