The second team to pick in the supplemental draft is the Miami Heat. Miami traded it's first round pick to Charlotte along with Glen Rice, Matt Geiger and Khalid Reeves for Alonzo Mourning, Pete Meyers and LeRon Ellis. The Heat also traded a first round pick that it received from Atlanta to New York for compensation for signing Pat Riley. In reality, the Heat has no draft picks. Their net GM is: Rob Clough and the Heat select: Ronnie Henderson, SG, 6-4, LSU ================================================================ Team Needs/History: This was easily the most turbulent year in the relatively short history of the Miami Heat franchise. After building slowly through the draft for years with players like Rony Seikaly, Glen Rice, Sherman Douglas, Grant Long and Steve Smith, the team two years ago traded half of their players away. Instability reigned, and the team missed the playoffs. The Heat had just gotten new ownership, and money was suddenly no object. They wanted the best: the best team, the best coach, the best facilities. So they went after New York's Pat Riley (illegally, some would say) and hooked him to a mega-deal where he is essentially Coach For Life, Maximum Leader, Lord Of All He Surveys. He gets the final say on all personnel decisions. This being Pat Riley, he decided that he would not play without a top-flight big man. So they traded long-time Heat star Glen Rice, solid backup center Matt Geiger, and talented rookie PG Khalid Reeves to Charlotte for Alonzo Mourning, Pete Meyers and Leron Ellis. What this really meant was a 3-for-1 deal. Mourning was in the last year of his contract and wanted big $$$; Charlotte didn't want to put up big numbers for him. So he came to the Heat with the understanding that he'd be signed as a FA after the year was over. Even if Riley hadn't made that move on opening night, the Heat had done a good bit during the summer already. The Heat had managed to get rid of John Salley's dead weight though the expansion draft, and got a 2nd round pick for Harold Miner from Cleveland. Ledell Eackles and Brad Lohaus left as UFA's, also no great loss. They signed hustle king and newly designated thug Keith Askins to a contract, which made him the longest-running member of the Heat. Then they signed Predrag "Sasha" Danilovic, a player whose rights they had obtained from the Warriors. They also had newly-acquired Rex Chapman from Washington, who they got for the rights to a couple of old 2nd round picks. Finally, they signed their rookie draft picks, Kurt Thomas and Terrence Rencher. The Heat started off well, with Mourning dominating the league and Danilovic proving to be a surprise as a big-time, legitimate scorer. Even Kevin Willis was playing well, concentrating on his boards now that the Heat had a big-time low-post presence. With Glen Rice gone, Billy Owens did well at SF, slashing his way to the basket. Then the injury bug hit Danilovic, and suddenly, the Heat could no longer score. Also, Riley wasn't satisfied with Bimbo Coles at point guard. So, with 30 games left in the season, Riley engineered ANOTHER trade. They traded Coles, Willis, Kevin Gamble and Billy Owens and acquired Tim Hardaway, Walt Williams, Tyrone Corbin and Chris Gatling. Then they traded rook Rencher for veteran Tony Smith, from Phoenix. As a fan of a team that had made precious few trades in its history, this season was a dizzying ride. The trade had mostly positive results. The Heat began winning, and their injured players recovered. Chris Gatling and Tim Hardaway, two players with a lot to prove (and UFA's to boot) particularly stood out. Walt Williams was a lot shakier. He was there to score and slash to the basket, which he didn't do enough to please Riley. His defense was also questionable. Chapman was another pleasant surprise, and it was his 39 point rampage that allowed the Heat (just as they had made the Hardaway, et al trade) to beat the mighty Bulls. The team got it together enough to snag the #8 playoff seed and get stomped by the Bulls. This offseason is probably the most important in team history. The Heat have only **four** players currently under contract, which is part of Riley's plan because this is the richest UFA crop ever. Which makes evaluating the team's draft needs almost impossible, because I have no idea who's going to be there. I will say that two things have changed with regard to the common wisdom of the Heat's offseason plans. They planned to sign Mourning to a huge 7-year deal, but after his swoon in the playoffs, they're rethinking this strategy. They had also planned to dump Tim Hardaway after the season was over, but he played so unexpectedly well that they may very well keep him. Bearing all this in mind, here's a look at the team. Player Pos. Ht. Wt. College Contract Status ------ ---- --- --- ------- --------------- Tim Hardaway PG 6-0 195 UTEP UFA Tony Smith PG 6-4 204 Marquette UFA Rex Chapman SG 6-4 195 Kentucky UFA Sasha Danilovic SG 6-6 200 Serbia Signed Voshon Lenard SG 6-4 205 Minnesota UFA Jeff Malone SG 6-4 205 Mississippi State UFA Walt Williams G/F 6-8 230 Maryland Signed Keith Askins SF 6-8 223 Alabama Signed Tyrone Corbin SF 6-6 225 DePaul UFA Chris Gatling PF 6-10 230 Old Dominion UFA Kurt Thomas PF 6-9 230 TCU Signed Stacey King F/C 6-11 250 Oklahoma UFA Alonzo Mourning C 6-10 261 Georgetown UFA Dan Schayes C 6-11 262 Syracuse UFA Team Evaluation: As you can see from the roster above, it's very difficult evaluating a team when only four players from the previous year are guaranteed to return! In general, the Heat learned discipline and defense under Riley. I think that if the team had been together for an entire year, they would have had a much better seed. As it was, they were really only a few games away from a #4 seed. In the player evaluation, I'll make a decision as to whether or not I want to keep the player if he's a free agent. Centers: Overall: Since they lost Rony Seikaly (and Alan Oggggg :-), the Heat have been flailing here. The addition of Mourning brought the Heat their first all-star and some respect. But is he really a franchise player, worth franchise money? That's the decision the Heat have to make. Alonzo Mourning: Zo was brought in to be "The Franchise", the way Ewing and Abdul-Jabbar were for Riley in the past. The results were mixed, but mostly positive. Mourning brought a defensive ferocity to the pivot that the Heat have never seen. He was an effective scorer and rebounder the entire season. However, Zo carries a lot of baggage. It's been well known that his surly attitude has never made him a favorite amongst other players and the media. He blew off his Charlotte teammates who desperately wanted him to stay. He openly criticized Miami fans for not cheering enough. His desire for a huge contract was questioned by some. But it was clear that with him, the Heat were successful, and without him, they struggled. That was clear until the playoffs, that is. Against the Bulls, Mourning was outplayed by the Bulls' roster of journeymen centers. Thoroughly outplayed. Mourning's ppg total dropped from 23.2 to 18.0, and his rebounding dropped from 10.4 to 6.0. Worse, his FG% dropped 5%. So his demands for a seven-year contract, which up til that point the Heat management would have loved to get, are now being viewed a bit more coolly. The Heat may be considering other free agent centers instead. I certainly wouldn't write Mourning off completely, though--if the Heat can't get a bigger name (and there aren't too many), Mourning would be great to keep around. And he may want to prove his worth after his playoff disappointment. Stacey King is a career-long bust who did little to distinguish himself in Miami. For awhile, though, he was the only backup big man and he got a few minutes. But he did everyone a favor and stayed on the IR for much of the year. He's a free agent and I doubt he'll be back. Dan Schayes is a career-long stiff; to quote Thomas Hill, the biggest thing about him is his size. He was basically there to play a few backup minutes for Mourning, get a board or two, and hack. He did this reasonably well. Another free agent, I don't think he'll be around unless Riley can't find another veteran, low-price center. Power Forwards: Overall: This position was historically the Heat's one big weakness. Kevin Willis didn't do much to solve this last year, his selfish play undermining his decent stats. This year, however, the Heat got solid play from some unexpected sources. Kurt Thomas was drafted surprisingly high at #10. A short 6-9, I didn't think much of his chances despite his excellent scoring and rebounding numbers in college. When the year began, he was nailed to the bench as Riley hates playing rookies. When injuries started to hit and trades began to happen, Riley was forced to play Thomas, and to his credit, he acquitted himself quite nicely. He put up some big scoring and rebounding numbers sporadically, earned a starter's spot (42 games), and played solid defense. As one of the few players under contract, I'm sure Riley will give him a chance to continue to improve next year. He ended up with 9 ppg and 6 rpg for the year. Chris Gatling was a player acquired mainly to free up cap room, but he turned out to be quite a valuable addition. Playing as a reserve, he ate up space on the boards and scored in the post, providing much needed relief for Mourning. Gatling is a hard worker with a nice shooting touch near the basket. After a big scoring binge over a few games, he was even named player of the week once. I think he'd be a good player to keep around, a veteran with size and skills who doesn't mind coming off the bench. Gatling finished the season with 15 ppg and 7 rpg, very solid numbers for a player coming into a new system. Small Forwards: Overall: The weakest position on the team, and it used to be the strongest. Trading Glen Rice AND Billy Owens was a risk that did not pay off. Walt Williams was a big disappointment. Look for the Heat to pursue a free agent SF. Walt Williams was brought in to provide some much-needed scoring. He was able to do that, but not consistently enough to make up for his defense. He had the option on his contract and has chosen to stay with the team. Hopefully, this means that he plans to commit himself to Miami and work harder. It may also mean that he wants to play better in order to ensure that he gets a better FA contract later. The real problem with Williams is that he was brought in to be another primary scorer, and he didn't really live up to that, with only 13 ppg. He actually led the team in 3-point shooting %, but he didn't take enough of them. If he's to get significant playing time next year, he'll have to be more aggressive. Tyrone Corbin came over in a trade, mainly to free up FA money after the season. He was also brought in since he's a veteran who can score. He played sporadically, but had a few good games. However, the Heat don't really need him and I'd be surprised if they retained him. Keith Askins is a remarkable success story, a second round pick who has managed to stay around because of his defense and fire, not to mention athletic ability. Riley instantly took to him, using him as a defensive stopper. Askins can also hit the three, and had the green light to fire away when he was in the game. He's still under contract and Riley will find a way to get him minutes, no matter who's on the team. Askins also plays a bit at 2G. He gets the most out of his minutes, shooting 41% from the 3-point line and getting 6 ppg and 3 rpg in addition to healthy block and steal numbers. Shooting Guards: Overall: A plethora of talent, but no superstars. The Heat could make a move here to pick up a big-name FA, which I would like to see. The team needs someone who can create his own shot and be able to take the pressure off the big men on a consistent basis. Rex Chapman was injured for much of the year, but when he was healthy in the second half, he played extremely well. He was the Heat's biggest three-point threat and actually drove to the basket a little, too. He has a huge salary that enabled the Heat to pick him up for almost nothing in return (the rights to Ed Stokes and Jeff Webster--oooh!). It turned out to be a good investment for the now open-walleted Heat, especially when Danilovic went down. Chapman scored 14 ppg led the team in three pointers made. Still, Chapman is not consistent enough to be a big time star, (37% on threes) he still gets injured too often, and his defense is nothing to write home about. The Heat will look at him, but only for the right price. Otherwise. they'll sign someone else to be a starter or give Danilovic a bigger role. Sasha Danilovic was tearing up the NBA with his scoring the first few weeks, then got a wrist injury that put him out until late in the year. It really hurt the team, who missed his scoring. Danilovic had been one of Europe's best players (watch him playing for Yugoslavia in the Olympics) before joining the NBA, and as a rookie, he played very well. The Heat have him wrapped up for a couple of years, and I think he'll get plenty of time to further prove himself. Look for him to drive to the basket more, ala Sarunas Marciualonis, and pick up fouls. Improving his defense is a priority. He scored 13.4 ppg, shooting a solid 43% from the 3-pt line in only 19 games. Voshon Lenard was a free agent pickup who played very well as a rookie. Coming out of college early, he then went back to school for a year. He didn't make the Bucks and the Heat got ahold of him. Lenard proved he could score and play defense. He often gave the team a lift in the second quarter with his shooting. I think he'd make a fine, low-cost backup SG once again next season. Jeff Malone was picked off the dust heap of the league by Riley, looking for more scoring from veterans. He actually played a few good minutes for the Heat, although his athletic ability is very limited at this point I'd be surprised to see him around next year. Point Guards: Overall: This became one of the team's biggest strengths, after being a weakness early on in the year. Riley was not happy with anyone on the roster when he got here, getting rid of former PG-of-the-future, Khalid Reeves. Bimbo Coles didn't have enough game offensively to suit Lord Riley's purposes, either, hence the trade. Tim Hardaway played outstanding basketball for the Heat after rotting away on the Warriors' bench. A series of injuries and personality clashes with coaches and players relegated this once-great player to limited playing time. Knowing that his stint in Miami was his last chance to shine, he came through magnificiently, particularly in the playoffs. His shooting, passing and even his defense were excellent all-around. His performance was so impressive that the Heat are strongly thinking of retaining him, and more importantly, he wants to stay. He's even gone on record that he wouldn't mind if the Heat signed another point guard like Gary Payton or Derek Harper, that he'd be glad to play with them. Hardaway scored 17.2 ppg and racked up an impressive 10 apg in the regular season, and his playoff numbers in scoring were slightly better (17.6). Tony Smith was stuck on the bench in Phoenix before the Heat rescued him, and he played very well as a backup. He's a solid, veteran point guard with a decent shot who makes few mistakes. He's the kind of solid roleplayer that Riley likes. Don't be surprised if he comes back, unless the Heat sign two free agent point guards. What the team needs: 1. Stability. Teams that have stable lineups tend to go farther in the playoffs. The Heat's roller-coaster trades damaged that stability, and it threatens to hurt the team again if they go nuts on the free-agent market. Thus, I would recommend keeping the following FA players: Mourning Hardaway Gatling Along with Williams, Thomas, Askins and Danilovic, this is a solid core of players. Assuming this is my lineup, I would need the following: a. A backup center who can really play defense. With Gatling there, you can get away with having a backup C with no offensive game. The other option is to get a legit starting C and move Mourning over to PF--perhaps Dikembe Mutombo? b. A veteran backup PG. Derek Harper would do nicely. If no one else comes up, keep Tony Smith. c. A premier small forward. (how about...Steve Smith!) This is where the Heat need to spend some money. The other option is to move Danilovic to SF and get a top-notch SG, like Reggie Miller. d. A shooting guard who can create his own shot and hit 3's consistently. Danilovic will probably be fine, but the Heat will need a backup. A lower-priced Rex Chapman would also suit the bill. Who to draft: The Heat pick Ronnie Henderson, Louisiana State. At this low point in the draft, I'm simply going on raw talent. Riley generally doesn't do much with rookies, but Henderson's scoring ability is the kind that might get Riley's attention. Without the "coaching" of dada Dale Brown weighing him down, Henderson might actually develop into a real player. As it is, he was a scoring machine at LSU. Yes, his shot selection was questionable, but he had to carry the team with little other talent on his squads--and Randy Livingston constantly injured. His athleticism is also astounding. His leaping ability is prime-time, and he can actually drive to the basket quite well. He's also had some trouble with injuries, but nothing too serious. Others considered: There were actually a number of interesting choices at this point. Some were solid players from good programs who are either tweeners or just undistinguished. Some were of the tantalizing but risky set. Others were in the talented-but-a-headcase category. Mark Hendrickson, Wash St-- talented and a good defender but he sounds too much like an NBA tweener. Joseph Blair, Arizona-- big, tough player with not enough skills. Jeff McInnis, UNC-- a lot of talent but a questionable attitude (Lakers, anyone?) Could be a big steal down the road, though. Jason Sasser, Texas Tech-- great scoring ability, but tweener size. Could surprise, though. Eric Gingold, Williams-- it came down to Gingold or Henderson. I really wanted to pick Gingold (I have a history of picking obscure players-- I picked Muresan for the Heat in '94), but I can't help thinking that he's a complete fraud. The fact that his agent perpetrated Yinka Dare on the NBA made the decision for me.