When he announced his decision to enter this year's NBA
draft, PG Tryonn Lue of Nebraska stated that he had been told that he would go
"anywhere from #6 to #14, no higher than #20" in the draft. Having watched him
for 3 years I have a hard time imagining how anyone could have told him he could go #6
with a straight face. #20 seems like a real stretch. Lue
is a very slightly built, very quick point guard whose primary strength is his ability to
break down his defender off the dribble and either dish off or shoot his own pull-up J. He
has decent but not great range on his shot, averaging in the mid-30's percentagewise from
the college 3 point line. His overall shooting percentage has hovered in the low-mid 40's,
as he's been asked to carry a little too heavy of a scoring load at Nebraska and tends to
force a lot of shots. My primary concern with Lue, aside from his lack of size, is that
his assist to TO ratio is very poor. I attribute a lot of this to the fact that he was
virtually the only ballhandler on Nebraska's team for the past 2 seasons, so he had too
many opportunities to make bad passes. But he also has a tendency to try too many high
risk passes and ends up throwing the ball away. He is also an average to below average
defensive player who will have a lot of trouble matching up against some of the bigger
point guards in the NBA. Some of the taller and more physical college point guards gave
Lue problems: Anthony Carter of Hawaii dominated him in the Rainbow Classic, and Ryan
Robertson of Kansas was able to hold Lue in check with his height advantage. It's
frightening to think of what a Gary Payton or Jason Kidd would do to Tyronn.
Among NBA point guards, Lue falls somewhere in the spectrum of
small, quick, offensive minded point guards ranging from Tyus Edney on the low end to
Allen Iverson on the high end. Lue is a lot closer to Edney than to Iverson. He's kind of
a taller but less athletic version of Spud Webb. His best bet will be to go to a team that
only wants him to handle the ball and not score a lot. He can be effective in a limited
role, but I have a hard time seeing him as an NBA starter any time soon.