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Introduction ...
A GM's responsibility consists of two things:
- Acquire the talent to win a championship.
- Secure talent for a competitive future.
Last year, Orlando signed Grant Hill and Tracy McGrady to
long term contracts, and they drafted Rookie of the Year
Mike Miller while trading other draft rights for future
considerations.
You have to like how the team is positioned.
The core of a championship team is almost there. The
Magic have a solid PG in Darrell Armstrong, All Star
athletes at the wings (Hill & McGrady), a do everything
PF in Bo Outlaw, and the returning Rookie of the Year
(Miller). The only thing missing is 7' monster to be
a terror in the middle! Outside of Outlaw and McGrady
no one averaged over 7 rebounds a game or even 1 block
a game.
As far as the future McGrady and Hill are signed for five
more years and Miller and Outlaw are signed for four. The
Magic will have their own draft choices, plus options on
other teams picks as they traded two picks from last years
draft.
The only question that remains is how to acquire enough
frontcourt talent within salary cap restrictions.
I really believe that the Magic's choices in this draft
will be based on the two principles above. If there is
a player that might help win a championship then draft
him, otherwise draft the best available talent. Talented
young players secure the future as well as giving the team
flexibility in trades. And the Magic could be one trade,
signing, or draft pick away from a championship team, if ...
- Grant Hill recovers from his injury and a year away from
basketball, and remains the player he was in Detroit.
- The team adapts well to the new zone defense rules. The
Magic are an good 3pt shooting team, and could potentially
benefit from zones. However, zones could limit the one on
one matchups that McGrady and Hill often win.
- Anyone on the team rebounds the ball, and plays tough
defense in the lane. Who knows, maybe the zone rules will
help.
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Draft History
- 2000
- Mike Miller - #5 overall (pick from G.S.)
- Keyon Dooling - #10 overall (traded to LA Clippers)
- Courtney Alexander - #13 overall (to Dallas)
Orlando traded F Corey Maggette, F Derek Strong, the rights
to G Keyon Dooling and cash to the Los Angeles Clippers for
a future first-round draft pick.
Dallas traded a future first-round draft pick and cash to
Orlando for the rights to G Courtney Alexander
- 1999
- Corey Maggette - #13 overall (by Seattle)
- Laron Profit - #38 overall
Seattle traded the draft rights to Corey Maggette (13) and
Billy Owens, Dale Ellis, and Don MacLean to Orlando for
Horace Grant and two future second-round draft picks.
Minnesota traded the draft rights to Louis Bullock (42 pick
overall) to Orlando for cash considerations.
- 1998
- Michael Doleac - #12 overall
- Keon Clark - #13 overall (from Washington)
- Matt Harpring - #15 overall (from New Jersey)
- Miles Simon - #42 overall
- 1997
- Johnny Taylor - #17 overall
- Eric Washington - #47 overall
- 1996
- Brian Evans - #27 overall
- Amal McCaskill - #49 overall
- 1995
- David Vaughn - #25 overall
- 1994
- Eric Mobley - #18 overall (Milwaukee from Orlando)
- Brooks Thompson - #27 overall (from Seattle)
- Rodney Dent - #31 overall
- 1993
- Chris Webber - #1 overall
- Geert Hammink - #26 overall (from New York)
Orlando traded the rights to Chris Webber to Golden State
for the rights to Anfernee Hardaway and three future first
round draft choices.
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Team needs
Will Chris Webber, Antonio Davis, or Dikembe Mutombo be in
Orlando? Or will the Magic have to settle for the best big
man available in the draft in Loren Woods, Brendan Haywood,
or Jason Collins?
The Magic need a inside presence. They do not need a backup
center or a non-rebounding PF (see Maurice Taylor as the best
example). They may try to get help in the middle in the
draft or through free agency.
They currently have 2 guys over 6'10" and 260 lbs that are
playing 20 minutes, getting less than 5 rebounds and not
blocking shots (John Amaechi, Mike Doleac).
Since the big men at 15 probably will not have an great
impact, someone that can play 20-25 minutes and provide
depth would be acceptable.
The Magic could also use a PG as a backup to Darrell Armstrong
(signed for 2 more years and will be 34 at that time). If
a capable PG could be had, it would be a serious consideration
as PGs are hard to find and the team has not found its point
of the future.
There is the option of playing Grant Hill some at PG, or
possibly drafting a PG and trading Armstrong. (I personally
think this would be a mistake, but it might be a salary cap
move to land a impact forward.)
The team also needs to be creative in finding the answer to
the hole in the middle. If a player slips in this draft, I
would expect the Magic to take him at 15, and then look for
a trade that might bring an experienced forward or center.
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Analysis of the Orlando Magic
Orlando went 43-39 and lost to the Milwaukee Bucks in the playoffs.
The team has no trouble scoring and they are a good 3pt shooting
team. However, they gave up a lot of rebounds and weren't always
able to clean their defensive glass. Help is needed at PF or C.
With the new zone defense rules, the Magic could fare better in
the middle. They will not enter next season without adding
at least one big body.
The return of Grant Hill in 01/02 should provide help at the
wing and provide a little relief for Darrell Armstrong and
Tracy McGrady. Returning ROY Mike Miller should provide depth
and a deadly 3 point attack.
Orlando is pressed against the salary cap because of the Hill
and McGrady signings, so some creative moves will need to be
made to add frontcourt talent and backcourt depth.
Guards
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
PG | Darrell Armstrong | 6-1 | 180 | 75 | 36.9 |
SG/SF | Tracy McGrady | 6-8 | 210 | 77 | 40.1 |
PG | Dee Brown | 6-2 | 205 | 7 | 22.1 |
PG | Troy Hudson | 6-1 | 170 | 75 | 13.5 |
PG | Cory Alexander | 6-1 | 190 | 26 | 8.7 |
Excellent talent in Armstrong and McGrady. Quite a drop off
after that. Alexander and Brown are free agents and I would
not expect them to resign Alexander, although Brown may be
resigned if other help can't be found. Hudson is a free
agent next year, so getting some quality help at guard is
a need for now and the future.
Forwards
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
SF | Grant Hill | 6-8 | 225 | 4 | 33.2 |
SF | Mike Miller | 6-8 | 218 | 82 | 29.1 |
PF/C | Bo Outlaw | 6-8 | 210 | 80 | 31.7 |
SF | Monty Williams | 6-8 | 225 | 82 | 14.8 |
PF | Pat Garrity | 6-9 | 238 | 76 | 20.8 |
PF | Don Reid | 6-8 | 250 | 64 | 11.9 |
The injury to Hill made more minutes for Miller in his first
year, and he responded with good play. Garrity could become
an interesting player. Reid and Williams are both free agents
and I would expect them to be gone in favor of a free agent
signing. How Hill fares in his 2nd season in Orlando is
critical. A healthy Hill shows that the signing was money
well spent, and should make Orlando one of the tougher
Eastern teams.
Centers
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
PF/C | John Amaechi | 6-10 | 270 | 82 | 20.9 |
C | Michael Doleac | 6-11 | 262 | 77 | 18.2 |
PF/C | Andrew DeClercq | 6-10 | 255 | 67 | 13.5 |
Wouldn't it be great to see one of these guys step up? The
Magic will definitely look to change this mix. Another big
body needs to be added. Hopefully one that eats up minutes
and rebounds. Amaechi and DeClercq are free agents after
this year, so an inside presence is absolutely necessary for
the future. The Magic could potentially survive the Eastern
Conference, but none of these guys can match up with the
better centers in the league.
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My selection if I'm Orlando's GM
Michael Bradley ( PF 6-11 245 ) Shot .692 in the Big East
as well as shooting over .600 from the field every year in
college. Should see playing time immediately. Runs the
floor well which would fit in with Orlando's athletic wings.
Good post moves and good footwork would give the Magic's
offensive attack a new dimension. Would add good size to
the Magic's frontcourt. May have athletic ceiling and
not a good free throw shooter.
With Woods and Haywood off the board, there has already been a
run on the top college centers. That leaves us with the top
college power forwards in Murphy and Bradley and the best point
guard in Tinsley.
Tinsley is a very close second in this selection. He would have
secured the future point duties and provided depth behind Darrell
Armstrong. He also would have filled a need at cap friendly
number for the next few years. The bet here is that Grant Hill
is healthy, and will be more responsible for distributing the
ball.
That leaves us with Murphy and
Bradley. I'd love to see an
individual workout featuring these two.
Murphy is a great shooter and fundamentally sound. From the
information I've seen on him Murphy may be more offensive minded,
suspect on defense, and not a great post up player. Murphy's
great shooting and size are attractive, but Orlando needs someone
to do some dirty work inside.
Why Bradley? Great post moves and very efficient shooting against
tough competition. Able to run the floor. College tested and
ready to contribute. Good size for a power forward. Good passing
skills.
McGrady, Hill, and Armstrong will put up points. Bradley's
efficiency with his touches will be a great complement. Being
able to dump the ball into the post and have it kicked back out
should help ease the load on McGrady and Hill. With the Magic's
talented wings, Bradley should almost never be doubled, and his
good footwork should payoff in the post.
Bradley provides depth in the frontcourt, should contribute
immediately, and helps to secure the future of the team. If
a free agent big man can be signed, Orlando would have added
two talented players to fill their biggest hole from last season.
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Orlando's probable selection
I believe Orlando would be very happy to get Michael Bradley
in this situation. There are several talented players still
available, so the other scenario is to draft a player for trade.
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Players considered for the 15 pick in the 2001 NBA Draft
Michael Bradley ( PF 6-11 245 ) Shot .692 in the Big East
as well as shooting over .600 from the field every year in
college. Should see playing time immediately. Runs the
floor well which would fit in with Orlando's athletic wings.
Good post moves and good footwork would give the Magic's
offensive attack a new dimension. Would add good size to
the Magic's frontcourt. May have athletic limitations and
not a good free throw shooter.
Loren Woods ( C 7-1 244 ) Orlando needs an inside
presence and Woods is an excellent shot blocker. He's
a four year college player, so he should contribute
immediately and could be used at PF at times. A shot
blocker like Woods would definitely help the Magic's
interior defense, and his stock may be on the rise.
Questions about his intensity make him a bit suspect, but
he would be a great pickup if still available at 15.
Jamal Tinsley ( PG 6-3 195 ) Best point guard available
in this years draft and he's here at 15! Great ballhandler
and pure distributor. Good size for a point. Questions about
his shooting. If taken here, would be a backup to Darrell
Armstrong and the Magic's point guard from 2003 - 2008.
Securing a PG for the future at draft pick cost would allow
the Magic to concentrate all remaining cap space for frontcourt
help.
Troy Murphy ( PF 6-11 245 ) Great shooter and fundamentally
sound player. Have seen some reports that his stock is on the
rise after individual workouts. Versatile scorer and good free
throw shooter. Good size for power forward. Questions about
his athletic ability and defense. May be more comfortable
facing the basket rather than posting up.
Zach Randolph ( PF 6-9 270 ) Would have been an interesting
option if available at 15. There are some reports that his
stock is falling, so the Magic may have a chance at him. Inside
presence would be a big plus for Orlando, but they may have to
wait a couple of years for him. Could be a future dominant
force or the next Tractor Taylor or Oliver Miller.
Brendan Haywood ( C 7-0 268 ) Great strength and size, but
questionable desire. Can be unstoppable, but can also disappear.
Not available here, but would have been a consideration if he was.
Jason Collins ( C 6-11 255 ) Tough player with touch inside.
Thrives on contact. Sounds exactly what the Magic need. However
I haven't seen him projected at 15 very often so this could be a
reach. Could be available at 23. Some questions about a knee
injury he had in college.
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Other moves the team should make
Here's a list of possible free agent signings and a guestimate
of their salary next year. If John Gabriel can get Dikembe Mutombo,
Chris Webber, or Antonio Davis under the cap, he's
definitely earned his pay as GM.
Orlando is a very pleasant location for free agents, so they
should not lose out to many teams if they really want a player.
I expect the Magic to make a serious run at Davis, and then if
it doesn't work try to grab a couple of the lower priced players.
The team could use some depth, so my suggestion would be to take
a chance on a Gary Trent or Nazr Mohammed.
Mike Miller or Bo Outlaw could bring something in trade, but
it should be something very good. Otherwise you trade your
need (Outlaw = rebounding + blocks) or your future (Miller =
ROY, quality young player) for a maybe championship.
| 01/02? |
C | Dikembe Mutombo | $15.14 |
PF | Chris Webber | $12.81 |
PF/C | Antonio Davis | $8.50 |
PF | Clarence Weatherspoon | $4.10 |
PF | Gary Trent | $4.10 |
PF/C | Nazr Mohammed | $4.10 |
PG | Alvin Williams | $4.10 |
PG | Jacque Vaughn | $3.00 |
PG | Shammond Williams | $3.00 |
More info after the 23rd pick is taken.
Pay for Play
Player | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03 | 03/04 | 04/05 | 05/06 | 06/07 |
15th_Pick | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
23rd_Pick | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cory Alexander | $241,986 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
John Amaechi | $598,200 | $658,020 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Darrell Armstrong | $3,755,000 | $4,130,500 | $4,506,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Dee Brown | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Andrew DeClercq | $1,920,000 | $2,160,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Michael Doleac | $1,452,000 | $2,000,856 | $2,753,178 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Pat Garrity | $1,019,280 | $1,569,691 | $2,238,380 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Grant Hill | $9,658,000 | $10,865,250 | $12,072,500 | $13,279,500 | $14,487,000 | $15,694,250 | $16,901,500 |
Troy Hudson | $523,500 | $590,850 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Tracy McGrady | $9,658,000 | $10,865,250 | $12,072,500 | $13,279,750 | $14,487,000 | $15,694,250 | $16,901,500 |
Mike Miller | $2,320,080 | $2,494,080 | $2,668,080 | $3,380,457 | $4,482,486 | $0 | $0 |
Bo Outlaw | $4,500,000 | $5,062,500 | $5,625,000 | $6,187,500 | $6,750,000 | $0 | $0 |
Don Reid | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Monty Williams | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
TOTALS: | $37,447,643 | $40,396,997 | $36,944,080 | $32,746,750 | $35,724,000 | $31,388,500 | $33,803,000 |
Age Factor
| 01/02 | 02/03 | 03/04 | 04/05 | 05/06 |
Tracy McGrady | May 1979 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
Grant Hill | Oct 1972 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
Mike Miller | Feb 1980 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
Bo Outlaw | Apr 1971 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | |
Darrell Armstrong | June 1968 | 33 | 34 | | |
Michael Doleac | June 1977 | 24 | 25 | | |
Pat Garrity | Aug 1976 | 25 | 26 | | |
Troy Hudson | Mar 1976 | 25 | | | |
Andrew DeClercq | Feb 1973 | 28 | | | |
John Amaechi | Nov 1970 | 31 | | | |
Cory Alexander | June 1973 | 28* | | | |
Don Reid | Dec 1973 | 28* | | | |
Monty Williams | Oct 1971 | 30* | | | |
Dee Brown | Nov 1968 | 33* | | | |
* free agents
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