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Introduction ...
A GM's responsibility consists of two things:
- Acquire the talent to win a championship.
- Secure talent for a competitive future.
Last year, Orlando signed Grant Hill and Tracy McGrady to
long term contracts, and they drafted Rookie of the Year
Mike Miller while trading other draft rights for future
considerations.
You have to like how the team is positioned.
The core of a championship team is almost there. The
Magic have a solid PG in Darrell Armstrong, All Star
athletes at the wings (Hill & McGrady), a do everything
PF in Bo Outlaw, and the returning Rookie of the Year
(Miller). The only thing missing is 7' monster to be
a terror in the middle! Outside of Outlaw and McGrady
no one averaged over 7 rebounds a game or even 1 block
a game.
As far as the future McGrady and Hill are signed for five
more years and Miller and Outlaw are signed for four. The
Magic will have their own draft choices, plus options on
other teams picks as they traded two picks from last years
draft.
The only question that remains is how to acquire enough
frontcourt talent within salary cap restrictions.
I really believe that the Magic's choices in this draft
will be based on the two principles above. If there is
a player that might help win a championship then draft
him, otherwise draft the best available talent. Talented
young players secure the future as well as giving the team
flexibility in trades. And the Magic could be one trade,
signing, or draft pick away from a championship team, if ...
- Grant Hill recovers from his injury and a year away from
basketball, and remains the player he was in Detroit.
- The team adapts well to the new zone defense rules. The
Magic are an good 3pt shooting team, and could potentially
benefit from zones. However, zones could limit the one on
one matchups that McGrady and Hill often win.
- Anyone on the team rebounds the ball, and plays tough
defense in the lane. Who knows, maybe the zone rules will
help.
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Draft History
- 2000
- Mike Miller - #5 overall (pick from G.S.)
- Keyon Dooling - #10 overall (traded to LA Clippers)
- Courtney Alexander - #13 overall (to Dallas)
Orlando traded F Corey Maggette, F Derek Strong, the rights
to G Keyon Dooling and cash to the Los Angeles Clippers for
a future first-round draft pick.
Dallas traded a future first-round draft pick and cash to
Orlando for the rights to G Courtney Alexander
- 1999
- Corey Maggette - #13 overall (by Seattle)
- Laron Profit - #38 overall
Seattle traded the draft rights to Corey Maggette (13) and
Billy Owens, Dale Ellis, and Don MacLean to Orlando for
Horace Grant and two future second-round draft picks.
Minnesota traded the draft rights to Louis Bullock (42 pick
overall) to Orlando for cash considerations.
- 1998
- Michael Doleac - #12 overall
- Keon Clark - #13 overall (from Washington)
- Matt Harpring - #15 overall (from New Jersey)
- Miles Simon - #42 overall
- 1997
- Johnny Taylor - #17 overall
- Eric Washington - #47 overall
- 1996
- Brian Evans - #27 overall
- Amal McCaskill - #49 overall
- 1995
- David Vaughn - #25 overall
- 1994
- Eric Mobley - #18 overall (Milwaukee from Orlando)
- Brooks Thompson - #27 overall (from Seattle)
- Rodney Dent - #31 overall
- 1993
- Chris Webber - #1 overall
- Geert Hammink - #26 overall (from New York)
Orlando traded the rights to Chris Webber to Golden State
for the rights to Anfernee Hardaway and three future first
round draft choices.
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Team needs
Will Chris Webber, Antonio Davis, or Dikembe Mutombo be in
Orlando? Or will the Magic have to settle for the best big
man available in the draft in Loren Woods, Brendan Haywood,
or Jason Collins?
The Magic need a inside presence. They do not need a backup
center or a non-rebounding PF (see Maurice Taylor as the best
example). They may try to get help in the middle in the
draft or through free agency.
They currently have 2 guys over 6'10" and 260 lbs that are
playing 20 minutes, getting less than 5 rebounds and not
blocking shots (John Amaechi, Mike Doleac).
Since the big men at 15 probably will not have an great
impact, someone that can play 20-25 minutes and provide
depth would be acceptable.
The Magic could also use a PG as a backup to Darrell Armstrong
(signed for 2 more years and will be 34 at that time). If
a capable PG could be had, it would be a serious consideration
as PGs are hard to find and the team has not found its point
of the future.
There is the option of playing Grant Hill some at PG, or
possibly drafting a PG and trading Armstrong. (I personally
think this would be a mistake, but it might be a salary cap
move to land a impact forward.)
The team also needs to be creative in finding the answer to
the hole in the middle. If a player slips in this draft, I
would expect the Magic to take him at 15, and then look for
a trade that might bring an experienced forward or center.
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Analysis of the Orlando Magic
Orlando went 43-39 and lost to the Milwaukee Bucks in the playoffs.
The team has no trouble scoring and they are a good 3pt shooting
team. However, they gave up a lot of rebounds and weren't always
able to clean their defensive glass. Help is needed at PF or C.
With the new zone defense rules, the Magic could fare better in
the middle. They will not enter next season without adding
at least one big body.
The return of Grant Hill in 01/02 should provide help at the
wing and provide a little relief for Darrell Armstrong and
Tracy McGrady. Returning ROY Mike Miller should provide depth
and a deadly 3 point attack.
Orlando is pressed against the salary cap because of the Hill
and McGrady signings, so some creative moves will need to be
made to add frontcourt talent and backcourt depth.
Guards
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
PG | Darrell Armstrong | 6-1 | 180 | 75 | 36.9 |
SG/SF | Tracy McGrady | 6-8 | 210 | 77 | 40.1 |
PG | Dee Brown | 6-2 | 205 | 7 | 22.1 |
PG | Troy Hudson | 6-1 | 170 | 75 | 13.5 |
PG | Cory Alexander | 6-1 | 190 | 26 | 8.7 |
Excellent talent in Armstrong and McGrady. Quite a drop off
after that. Alexander and Brown are free agents and I would
not expect them to resign Alexander, although Brown may be
resigned if other help can't be found. Hudson is a free
agent next year, so getting some quality help at guard is
a need for now and the future.
Forwards
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
SF | Grant Hill | 6-8 | 225 | 4 | 33.2 |
SF | Mike Miller | 6-8 | 218 | 82 | 29.1 |
PF/C | Bo Outlaw | 6-8 | 210 | 80 | 31.7 |
SF | Monty Williams | 6-8 | 225 | 82 | 14.8 |
PF | Pat Garrity | 6-9 | 238 | 76 | 20.8 |
PF | Don Reid | 6-8 | 250 | 64 | 11.9 |
The injury to Hill made more minutes for Miller in his first
year, and he responded with good play. Garrity could become
an interesting player. Reid and Williams are both free agents
and I would expect them to be gone in favor of a free agent
signing. How Hill fares in his 2nd season in Orlando is
critical. A healthy Hill shows that the signing was money
well spent, and should make Orlando one of the tougher
Eastern teams.
Centers
| Ht | Wt | GP | Min |
PF/C | John Amaechi | 6-10 | 270 | 82 | 20.9 |
C | Michael Doleac | 6-11 | 262 | 77 | 18.2 |
PF/C | Andrew DeClercq | 6-10 | 255 | 67 | 13.5 |
Wouldn't it be great to see one of these guys step up? The
Magic will definitely look to change this mix. Another big
body needs to be added. Hopefully one that eats up minutes
and rebounds. Amaechi and DeClercq are free agents after
this year, so an inside presence is absolutely necessary for
the future. The Magic could potentially survive the Eastern
Conference, but none of these guys can match up with the
better centers in the league.
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My selection if I'm Orlando's GM
Here we are at #22. And the run on point guards started two
picks ago. Three picks ago, we were feeling really good about
this pick, but now we have to make a decision.
The Magic could add depth at Power Forward or Center, take a
player to add depth and secure the future of the backcourt, or
take a flyer on a prospect.
The two top point guards are off the boards. We're left with
some excellent values at other spots. Jason Collins would be
a good value at center. Steven Hunter has been on the rise
since workouts began. Ousmane Cisse might be worth the gamble
based on potential alone. Trenton Hassell and Jeff Trepagnier
would be good values based on athleticism and scoring. Tony
Parker may be worth this pick and fits the backcourt need.
My pick based on value and need is Gilbert Arenas,
6'3" SG from Arizona.
Explosive first step. Shot over 43% from college 3pt territory.
Strong work ethic. Led Arizona in scoring at 16.2 a game and
48% from the field! May be able to play at both guard positions.
Good slasher and scorer. I'm considering him as a combination
guard. He could back up both guard spots while he worked on
ball handling and passing. Could be a very good scorer in the
NBA, and would have better size at point than shooting guard.
I've seen reports that he may be a better prospect than R.Jefferson
or L.Woods. Could be a great value taken at #22. Orlando could
use help in the backcourt and Arenas may be a better prospect than
some players left on the board.
It's tempting to take Collins or one of the "upside" prospects.
However, Arenas beats out these players because of value and need.
Arenas's quickness and slashing make me think he should be able
to see time at both guard spots. He's probably one of the better
values left on the board, and we're handing out a multi-year
deal. He help fills the need for backcourt depth. The backcourt
needs to be addressed because the Magic are one injury away (Darrell
Armstrong) to a Dee Brown / Troy Hudson backcourt. Grant Hill
is coming back and may play some point, but Arenas will provide
great insurance.
The other reason that Arenas is taken here is that I think the
Magic will have a shot at several of these other players with the
#32 pick overall. If Tony Parker, Alvin Jones, or Ousmane Cisse
are still available at #32 then I think it would be a wildly
successful draft.
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Orlando's probable selection
The more I look at it the more I think that the Magic will not
be making this pick for themselves. If they go for a point
guard at #15 which they may do, then I bet this pick and some
combination of players is traded for a power forward or center
and future considerations.
There is still some good value here with all of the youth in
this draft and there is sure to be a team out there that wants
Hunter, Cisse, Hassel, or Collins.
I think the Magic will use at least one of their picks to try
to get under the cap. They are going to want an experienced
big man before this next year, but they don't have much spending
money to go get one.
I did not take Bradley or Arenas simply to trade them. I think
each player would add a piece to a Magic championship. However,
the picks may be more valuable as bargaining chips in trades as
opposed to trading the Rookie of the Year Mike Miller.
I think there's a very good chance that Orlando would take a
long look at Tony Parker at #32. Parker fits the need of a
starting point guard in 2-3 years, and could be a major asset.
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Players considered for the 22nd pick in the 2001 NBA Draft
Jamal Tinsley ( PG 6-3 195 )
Great ballhandler and pure distributor. Good size for a point.
Questions about his shooting. Securing a PG for the future
at draft pick cost would allow the Magic to concentrate all
remaining cap space for frontcourt help. Would have been our
pick if he was here.
Omar Cook ( PG 6-1 190 )
Creative, pure point guard. Wants the ball in clutch situations
and does not lack confidence. Should be a starting NBA point guard
in three years. Would have been a great addition to the Magic and
fits the timeframe they need. Would have been a great pick for Magic
if he was here.
Tony Parker ( PG 6-2 172 )
Combo guard with better than 2.5-to-1 assists to turnover ratio
and effective jumper. Outplayed U.S. opposition at 2000 Hoop
Summit. He's quick and efficient in open-court situations, can
penetrate and finish. Plays for the team and has excellent leadership
qualities. Could use some time to develop and needs to add some
strength. The Magic need to find their point guard of the future
and Parker may very well be the man. Would be on a similar time
line as Omar Cook, and that fits the Magic's needs very well.
Kenny Satterfield ( PG 6-2 185 )
Good on-the-ball defender. Good quickness and good finisher.
Not a true point guard, not a good outside shooter. We have to
consider him because of the need for backcourt help, but this
is probably a reach for Satterfield.
Rashad Phillips ( PG 5-10 162 )
Very good ballhandler with good point guard instincts. Excellent
3-point shooter. Good scoring point guard. Weakness could be size.
Could be worthy of a first round selection.
Trenton Hassell ( SG 6-5 195 )
Very athletic. Nice shot. Gets to the basket well. Good passer
averaged over 4 assists last year. Can get his own shot. A little
undersized for SF, he'll probably play SG in the NBA. Not a great
ballhandler. Needs to get stronger for NBA. He's athletic and can
get his own shot. Sounds like a player with a solid NBA future.
Good size for a SG and he shot well in college. Like Arenas would
be a good value pick at #22. Could provide depth, and young
athletic players provide flexibility and trade opportunities.
Jeff Trepagnier ( SG 6-3 196 )
Can get up! Competed in the high jump at USC and has recorded
a 42 inch vertical. Has worked out well since the end of the
college season. Could be the best athlete available in the
draft. Played SF in college and needs to make the transition
to SG. Could be a value here at #22 on athletic ability alone.
Could also provide depth and insurance at SF with Grant Hill
coming off his injury.
Ousmane Cisse ( PF 6-9 250 )
High school player originally from Mali, Africa. Very raw player
who would have been wise to go to college. Stock may have been
dropping because of a knee injury last year and limited information
about him. Excellent work ethic and very high energy. Dominated
Tyson Chandler at the Nike All American Camp. Tremendous shot
blocking and rebounding instincts and runs the floor well. The
downside to Cisse is that he is very limited offensively, and he
may be shorter than his listed size. Would be a risk, but could
also pay off with a big reward. Could develop on the Magic and
upside is very attractive. Is young and may still grow. Given
that this is the Magic's second pick in the first round, they
could afford to take a gamble for a future payoff.
Jason Collins ( C 6-11 255 )
Tough player with touch inside. Thrives on contact. Sounds
exactly what the Magic need. Could provide size in the frontcourt
and should be able to contribute some immediately. Some questions
about a knee injury he had in college. Good jumper out to 3-point
range. Should be in NBA for a long time, and would add size.
Steven Hunter ( C 7-0 215 )
Force as a shotblocker and runs the floor well. Has added muscle
since the end of the college season, and has is reportedly moving
up in the first round. Played well at Chicago. Has loads of
potential, and is about same age as the high school players.
Must add strength and needs to work on footwork. The Magic need
to decide if they like Hunter based on his recent workouts. He
would be taken on potential, and may eventually provide a big
payoff. If he is really moving up draft boards there is a chance
that he may not be available here at #22, or other teams may
covet him enough to make this a pick-and-trade pick.
Samuel Dalembert ( PF/C 6-11 232 )
Awesome athlete runs the floor as well as a guard. Combination
of mobility, reach, and elevation makes him a fantastic shot
blocker. Threat to score purely based on athleticism. Could
develop as Theo Ratliff type player, but will need to improve on
boards and decrease foul problems. Another player with upside
and decent size. Magic could take a chance on him with their
2nd pick in round one.
Alvin Jones ( C 6-11 257 )
Fantastic shot blocker and rebounder with the size to play center.
Questions about his work ethic and needs to play hard all of the
time. Would add another big body and help shore up the interior
defense immediately. Combined with #15 pick Bradley, could give
the Magic a new look along the frontcourt.
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Other moves the team should make
Here's a list of possible free agent signings and a guestimate
of their salary next year. If John Gabriel can get Dikembe Mutombo,
Chris Webber, or Antonio Davis under the cap, he's
definitely earned his pay as GM.
Orlando is a very pleasant location for free agents, so they
should not lose out to many teams if they really want a player.
I expect the Magic to make a serious run at Davis, and then if
it doesn't work try to grab a couple of the lower priced players.
The team could use some depth, so my suggestion would be to take
a chance on a Gary Trent or Nazr Mohammed.
Mike Miller or Bo Outlaw could bring something in trade, but
it should be something very good. Otherwise you trade your
need (Outlaw = rebounding + blocks) or your future (Miller =
ROY, quality young player) for a maybe championship.
Jacque Vaughn would be a great addition for depth in the
backcourt, but Utah probably thinks the same.
I would recommend taking Tony Parker in the 2nd round and
seeing how he develops. He would be less cap space than the
free agent guards, and might be a steal in a year or two.
| 01/02? |
C | Dikembe Mutombo | $15.14 |
PF | Chris Webber | $12.81 |
PF/C | Antonio Davis | $8.50 |
PF | Clarence Weatherspoon | $4.10 |
PF | Gary Trent | $4.10 |
PF/C | Nazr Mohammed | $4.10 |
PG | Alvin Williams | $4.10 |
PG | Jacque Vaughn | $3.00 |
PG | Shammond Williams | $3.00 |
More info after the 23rd pick is taken.
Pay for Play
Player | 00/01 | 01/02 | 02/03 | 03/04 | 04/05 | 05/06 | 06/07 |
15th_Pick | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
23rd_Pick | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cory Alexander | $241,986 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
John Amaechi | $598,200 | $658,020 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Darrell Armstrong | $3,755,000 | $4,130,500 | $4,506,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Dee Brown | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Andrew DeClercq | $1,920,000 | $2,160,000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Michael Doleac | $1,452,000 | $2,000,856 | $2,753,178 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Pat Garrity | $1,019,280 | $1,569,691 | $2,238,380 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Grant Hill | $9,658,000 | $10,865,250 | $12,072,500 | $13,279,500 | $14,487,000 | $15,694,250 | $16,901,500 |
Troy Hudson | $523,500 | $590,850 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Tracy McGrady | $9,658,000 | $10,865,250 | $12,072,500 | $13,279,750 | $14,487,000 | $15,694,250 | $16,901,500 |
Mike Miller | $2,320,080 | $2,494,080 | $2,668,080 | $3,380,457 | $4,482,486 | $0 | $0 |
Bo Outlaw | $4,500,000 | $5,062,500 | $5,625,000 | $6,187,500 | $6,750,000 | $0 | $0 |
Don Reid | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Monty Williams | $548,500 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
TOTALS: | $37,447,643 | $40,396,997 | $36,944,080 | $32,746,750 | $35,724,000 | $31,388,500 | $33,803,000 |
Age Factor
| 01/02 | 02/03 | 03/04 | 04/05 | 05/06 |
Tracy McGrady | May 1979 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
Grant Hill | Oct 1972 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 |
Mike Miller | Feb 1980 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
Bo Outlaw | Apr 1971 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | |
Darrell Armstrong | June 1968 | 33 | 34 | | |
Michael Doleac | June 1977 | 24 | 25 | | |
Pat Garrity | Aug 1976 | 25 | 26 | | |
Troy Hudson | Mar 1976 | 25 | | | |
Andrew DeClercq | Feb 1973 | 28 | | | |
John Amaechi | Nov 1970 | 31 | | | |
Cory Alexander | June 1973 | 28* | | | |
Don Reid | Dec 1973 | 28* | | | |
Monty Williams | Oct 1971 | 30* | | | |
Dee Brown | Nov 1968 | 33* | | | |
* free agents
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